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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    1384
  • Volume: 

    3
Measures: 
  • Views: 

    932
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

در صنعت مقابله پیشگیرانه با خطرات احتمالی باعث افزایش کارایی و افزایش تولید در یک واحد تولیدی می گردد. مدیریت خوردگی بعنوان بخشی از سیستم مدیریتی یکپارچه در ارتباط با توسعه، اجرا، بازبینی و نگهداری از مسایل خوردگی می باشد. برنامه ای در سیستم مدیریتی موفق و کارآمد خواهد بود که بتواند با دیگر اجزا سیستم ارتباط منطقی برقرار نماید. در این مورد مدیریت خوردگی باید بتواند داده های خود را به دیگر برنامه های مدیریتی در سیستم مدیریت جامع القا نماید و از طرف دیگر داده های آنها را به بهترین نحو ممکن مورد استفاده قرار دهد. همچنین سیستمهای مدیریتی به ابزار قابل اطمینانی برای پیش بینی حوادث احتمالی آینده و محاسبه فاکتورهای لازم برای مدیریت نیاز دارند. از مهمترین ابزارهایی که می توان بوسیله آن داده های مطمئنی بدست آورد ارزیابی ریسک حوادث احتمالی می باشد. در مدیریت خوردگی بر پایه ریسک نیز محاسبات لازم برای اقدامات کنترلی و بازرسی ها بر اساس ریسکی است که همراه با هر یک از وقایع احتمالی خوردگی وجود دارد. در روشهای مدیریتی بر پایه ریسک نیز تمرکز اقدامات بر روی نقاط پر خطر و با ریسک بالا خواهد بود. بر این اساس نقاط بحرانی توسط روشهای مختلف ارزیابی ریسک مشخص شده و با بکارگیری از روشهای مناسب مانیتورینگ خوردگی و نیز با تدوین برنامه هایی جهت بازرسی و اقدامات کنترلی و تعمیراتی که در آینده طرح ریزی خواهند شد این نقاط را مدنظر قرار می دهند. با توجه به میزان خسارات ناشی از خطرات احتمالی، مدیریت ریسک تنها یک گزینه آلترناتیو محسوب نشده بلکه بکارگیری آن در هر تشکیلاتی از الزامات مدیریتی می باشد. در صورتیکه در یک سیستم تمامی محاسبات بر اساس ریسک حاصل از حوادث و اقدامات بعدی و کنترل ریسکها باشد می توان به یک سیستم مدیریت جامع بر پایه ریسک دست یافت که در حال حاضر بسیاری از صنایع در کشورهای پیشرفته و رو به توسعه بر این اساس مدیریت می شوند.

Yearly Impact:   مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2015
  • Volume: 

    1
Measures: 
  • Views: 

    190
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

THE UNCERTAINTIES AND RANDOMNESS IN MULTI-DIMENSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT (RM) IN LARGE-SCALE CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS SHOULD BE EFFECTIVELY DETECTED AND MEASURED THROUGH RELIABLE MANAGERIAL PROCEDURES TO ELIMINATE OR REDUCE ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES SUCH AS CASUALITIES AND ASSET DAMAGES IN ADVANCE. THIS PAPER AIMS AT AN INNOVATIVE TECHNICAL SOLUTION FOR PROJECT MANAGERS TO BETTER UNDERSTAND THE LEVEL OF RM PRACTICE BY MEANS OF RM MATURITY MEASUREMENT. BASED ON THE THEORY OF SYSTEM SCIENCE AND PREVIOUS RESEARCH INTO PROJECT MANAGEMENT IN THE MATURITY OF RM, THIS PAPER DESCRIBES THE PROTOTYPE OF AN RM MATURITY SYSTEM (RMMS) FOR LARGE-SCALE CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDERPINNED BY USING THE ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS (ANP) METHOD IN ORDER TO MEASURE THE OVERALL EFFECTIVENESS OF RM AGAINST MAJOR RISK FACTORS. THE RMMS CONSISTS OF THREE COMPONENTS TO FOCUS ON CAPABILITIES, EVALUATION AND EVOLUTION IN RM. A CASE STUDY IS GIVEN AT THE END TO VERIFY THE FEASIBILITY OF THE SYSTEM.

Yearly Impact:   مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

View 190

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2009
  • Volume: 

    5
Measures: 
  • Views: 

    158
  • Downloads: 

    116
Abstract: 

in this research, it has been tried to collect many issues that S.T.P.C project was encountered with. Moreover, Project risks for S.T.P.C are mentioned through Identified Issues in terms of different phases of the project life time. Based on risk management theories, explained in the literature section, risk assessment is applied for the identified risks. Then, Risks are categorized through risk category matrix by analyzing risk probability of occurrence and risk inlpact on project cost and time. On the following, some mitigation actions have been derived, in forms of recommendations, which are useful to cut down the probability and impacts of risks.There are some fields and areas in associated with the project which can be expanded for typical projects. They have been cited in conclusion section as main sources of project risks. Besides, for next researches, some critical areas are recommended to be followed through Future Research mplementation.Costs of the project due to delays on sub-projects in S.T.P.C, calculated by S.T.P.C accountant as a research in 2006, in comparison with estlnlated project costs, will show the importance of tools and techniques such as Risk Management through petrochemical projects which can be applied to manage project time and cost. Finally, a collection of experiential reconmlendations can be applied for petrochemical plants in Iran for the future.

Yearly Impact:   مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

View 158

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Journal: 

SCIENTIA IRANICA

Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2009
  • Volume: 

    16
  • Issue: 

    2 (TRANSACTION E: INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING)
  • Pages: 

    138-148
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    678
  • Downloads: 

    577
Abstract: 

A conventional Risk Management Process (RMP) contains two main phases: (a) risk assessment that includes risk identification and risk analysis, and (b) risk response that decides what, if anything, should be done about the analyzed risks. Based on a traditional tendency, most studies in state of- the art RMP have ample emphasis on risk assessment, but we can find limited studies on the subject of risk response. This paper aims to oppose the mentioned traditional view. The paper introduces a generic RMP, namely Two-Pillar Risk Management (TPRM) that considers an equivalent importance for both risk assessment and risk response. The paper compares the TPRM with the last version of the RMP provided in the standard of PMBoK. Application of the proposed model in projects in the construction industry shows a tremendous total risk level improvement. We believe that applying the TPRM helps project managers in a most effective and efficient manner in dealing with their risk management programs.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2017
  • Volume: 

    10
  • Issue: 

    34
  • Pages: 

    73-87
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    4567
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Project finance investments are a key backbone for a wide range of sustainable and bankable new infrastructures; being long term investments, they are highly exposed to inflation risk, which in Public Private Partners hips is mostly borne by the private counterpart and its backing lenders. Prompt monitoring and resilient contractual designed as inflation risk detection, man Project finance investments are a key backbone for a wide range of sustainable and bankable new infrastructures; being long term investments, they are highly exposed to inflation risk, which in Public Private Partners hips is mostly borne by the private counterpart and its backing lenders Prompt monitoring and resilient contractual designed as inflation risk detection, management and mitigation, together with proper and flexible financial modelling, alleviating its potentially is erupting impact, especially if unpredictable or chronically enduring. Inflation risk periodically emerges as an extreme-albeit hardly perceived-event, to which infrastructural investments especially in developing countries are particularly vulnerable, creating disrupting agency costs among different take holders. An increasingly wide target audience of both practitioners and academics is interested in the precocious detection, assessment and management of this relevant interdisciplinary problem, so as to find resilient solutions able to mitigate its potentially devastating systemic repercussion segment and mitigation, together with proper and flexible financial modelling, alleviating its potentially disrupting impact, especially if unpredictable or chronically enduring. Inflation risk periodically emerges as an extreme hardly perceived-event, to which infrastructural investments especially in developing countries are particularly vulnerable, creating disrupting agency costs among different take holders. An increasingly wide target audience of both practitioners and academics is interested in the precocious detection, assessment and management of this relevant interdisciplinary problem, so as to find resilient solutions able to mitigate its potentially devastating systemic repercussions.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2016
  • Volume: 

    8
  • Issue: 

    2
  • Pages: 

    217-240
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    2203
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Being observed frequently that projects cannot achieve to their plan duration and their budget. Utilizing retrospective method is one of the reasons for this problem. In this research two method, Earned Duration Management and risk management, has been used to remove the gap of the plan and the reality; this enable the project to utilize both high accuracy of the first method and prophecy of the second tool. First, control limits were made by Monte Carlo simulation; then, the risks were recognized, after that, project was simulated under the condition that assumed critical risk has happened.At the end, if the simulated indexes violate the limits it will be a signal that program should be revised. The final estimated duration is about two month more than the row plan, that it shows the necessity of taking accounts of risks during planning.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2018
  • Volume: 

    4
  • Issue: 

    4
  • Pages: 

    47-58
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    2
  • Views: 

    2072
  • Downloads: 

    0
Abstract: 

Background and Objective: The necessity of risk management in construction projects targeted toward the reduction of accidents, achievement of the project goals, guarantee of the organization survival, and achievement of customer satisfaction is inevitable. Therefore, attention to the risk management issue as a part of the macro risk raised in the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) can play a significant role in the identification, assessment, and control of the HSE risks.Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional descriptive-analytical study was conducted in 2016-2017 with the aim of analyzing 38 types of risks in four categories of HSE risk in a macro construction project with the PMBOK standard approach. The combined risk assessment was based on the risk matrix, including probability of occurrence and severity factors.Results: The results showed that project cost, quality, and emergency conditions were at a very high-risk level among the four groups of HSE risks in the Work Breakdown Structure. Furthermore, the lack of cost allocation for the employment of HSE supervisor, expert, and officer according to project phases was identified as the highest risk source.Conclusion: This study facilitated an evolution in approaching the project managers' viewpoint to the HSE factors. Moreover, it provided a new approach for the identification of major project risks, examination of the different dimensions of the accident consequences in the project, and application of different areas of PMBOK standard in risk assessment. Consequently, the findings of the present study can be used as a suitable substitute for common risk assessment methods in this industry and similar industries.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2018
  • Volume: 

    14
  • Issue: 

    1
  • Pages: 

    153-169
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    204
  • Downloads: 

    238
Abstract: 

In the context of the scope, time, cost, and quality constraints, failure is not uncommon in project management. While small projects have 70% chances of success, large projects virtually have no chance of meeting the quadruple constraints. While there is no dearth of research on project risk management, the manifestation of barriers to project risk management is a less dwelt topic.The success of project management is oftentimes based on the understanding of barriers to effective risk management, application of appropriate risk management methodology, proactive leadership to avoid barriers, workers’ attitude, adequate resources, organizational culture, and involvement of top management. This paper represents various risk categories and barriers to risk management in domestic and international projects through literature survey and feedback from project professionals. After analysing the various modelling methods used in project risk management literature, interpretive structural modelling (ISM) and MICMAC analysis have been used to analyse interactions among the barriers and prioritize them. The analysis indicates that lack of top management support, lack of formal training, and lack of addressing cultural differences are the high priority barriers, among many others.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2007
  • Volume: 

    17
  • Issue: 

    5
  • Pages: 

    31-37
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    1
  • Views: 

    3980
  • Downloads: 

    0
Keywords: 
Abstract: 

Recent Studies has shown that for 3 reasons: ineffective cultures, lack of organizational knowledge management and useless controls, risk management has become unsuccessful. The extreme growth of inexpensive and rapid information technologies has created remarkable and significant organizational innovations and as a result of this operational complication, risk management is enforced in order to be competitive and fast response towards market changes. If you want to be a leader in the market, should hunt the new opportunities and it requires fast response. At this stage a question is propounded: if you spend a long time for studying about the investment, the opportunity may not be alive anymore. Therefore, information is some how part of the risk management problem and also part of the solution. But information gathering without concerning to its inner knowledge would be unsafe. Accordingly lots of risk management problems are not due to lack of information, but the more is knowledge failure and its interpretation.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Issue Info: 
  • Year: 

    2015
  • Volume: 

    8
  • Issue: 

    3
  • Pages: 

    373-395
Measures: 
  • Citations: 

    0
  • Views: 

    2699
  • Downloads: 

    900
Abstract: 

Risk management is one of the most important phases of project management and is the most recently used by many researchers. In this paper, a fuzzy based method was proposed which identifies different kinds of risks through the project life cycle.Then, the project risk magnitude can be obtained in regards to five factors, namely “severity”, “occurrence”, and “not detection” which form fuzzy FMEA and also two other factors namely project phase weights and risks weights. These two factors in addition to risk priority number (RPN) factors can lead to the application of better risk management. Based on the project risk magnitude, the appropriate risk response should be selected. The proposed model covers three parts of risk management process: 1. Risk identification, 2. Quantitative risk analysis and 3. Risk response planning. Finally, this model was applied by a numerical example, and project risk magnitude was calculated for an assumed company, to verify the proposed method.

Yearly Impact: مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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